No confidence

June 29th, 2010
By ddepledge

Daily Kos, the liberal website, has ended its relationship with pollster Research 2000 after independent statisticians raised questions about polling results. Markos Moulitsas, the Daily Kos founder, said today that he no longer had confidence in any of the Research 2000 work, which includes a poll on the May special election for Congress in urban Honolulu’s 1st Congressional District.

From a post by Moulitsas:

While the investigation didn’t look at all of Research 2000 polling conducted for us, fact is I no longer have any confidence in any  of it, and neither should anyone else. I ask that all poll tracking sites remove any Research 2000 polls commissioned by us from their databases. I hereby renounce any post we’ve written based exclusively on Research 2000 polling.

In an April poll, Research 2000 had the special election for Congress a statistical dead heat, with Charles Djou — the eventual winner — at 32 percent, former congressman Ed Case at 29 percent and state Senate President Colleen Hanabusa at 28 percent. Seven percent were undecided.

Daily Kos was sympathetic to Hanabusa — who would finish second — and described Case as a “Lieberdem,” a derisive reference to U.S. Sen. Joseph Lieberman, a Connecticut independent.

3 Responses to “No confidence”

  1. Kolea:

    Thanks for the link.

    I think journalists should be skeptical of any political polling when ALL the data is not made available, along with a willingness to answer questions about methodology.

    Polling can be an extremely valuable tool. But it can also be used dishonestly, to create false impressions of public opinion and/or support for a candidate. And sometimes “push polls” are used by a campaign to spread negative information (or disinformation) about a candidate in the guise of a poll.

    We have seen many claims recently about how the “majority” of Hawaii voters stand on civil unions. Neither side has been willing to release all their data, but what HAS been release by Equality Hawaii has been much more forthcoming than the polling conducted by the Hawaii Family Forum.

    Hopefully, both sides will feel pressure to share with the rest of us what their numbers show.


  2. Michael:

    To each his own opinion.
    If the shoe fits, wear it.


  3. Bobw808:

    Isn’t this the phony ballony poll that had Neil Abercrombie running away with the governors race?


Leave a Reply